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Our Approach · Execution

When can the boilermakers go home?

In-Event Critical Mass Control reads every daily P6 update and answers the questions the turnaround manager has to decide on: is the finish still supported, and when can each craft step down without putting it at risk?

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The last third of the event is decided on headcount

Once bulk work winds down, every day brings the same decision: hold crews or release them. Hold too long and the event pays for heads with no work in front of them. Release too early and the remaining critical work stalls, and released crafts are not re-hired mid-event.

That decision is usually made on an event-wide S-curve and experience. But holding heads is always a craft question, never an event total. Pipefitters, boilermakers, catalyst crews and electricians each finish on their own date, and the event curve hides all of them.

Turnaround Excellence Framework lifecycle with In-Event Critical Mass Control at the Execution phase StrategyPremiseScopePlanning SchedulingReadinessCloseout &learning Execution Critical Mass Control Schedule Readiness Review one read per daily update
The service picks up where the Schedule Readiness Review stops. The review gets the schedule to a clean baseline; this service controls the event against it, one update at a time.

Is the finish set by logic, or by throughput?

Every update, the work still needed to reach the target is compared with the rate the crews are actually earning over the last five working days. While the earned rate keeps up, the event is logic-bound: the network sets the finish date. Once the rate falls below what is required and stays there, the event is throughput-bound: crews and productivity set the finish, and the P6 date will slip unless throughput rises. The update where that happens is the tipping point.

Two targets are watched: the finish milestone and a bulk-scope target, the date by which all non-critical work should be done. Bulk scope running past its target is an early warning that critical mass trouble is coming, well before the finish date moves.

Event S-curve with planned, earned and forecast hours, the bulk-scope baseline and target, the forecast finish, and below it the required rate of earn against the five-day rolling rate
Planned, earned and forecast hours on the sample event, with the bulk-scope target and forecast finish marked. The lower panel compares the required rate of earn (dashed) with the five-working-day rolling rate (solid). Here the event is logic-bound: crews are earning well above the rate the remaining work needs.

When can each craft step down?

For each primary craft, the remaining P6 hours become a headcount forecast to that craft's last work day. When daily craft headcount is reported, the forecast is adjusted to the productivity the field is actually achieving. The result is a calculated step-down for each craft, with a margin, in whole crews, and never released while a later day still needs those heads.

Headcount by primary craft: forecast, adjusted forecast and suggested step-down for boilermakers, catalyst, electricians and instrumentation
On the sample event: boilermakers hold 16 to their last work day, catalyst crews step down in stages from nine days before that, and electricians are the first craft released. Each chart shows the forecast, the adjusted forecast and the suggested step-down.
A step-down is a capacity reading, not a demobilization order. It tells the turnaround manager when the schedule stops needing a craft's heads. The release decision, and the contractor conversation behind it, stays with the people who hold that authority.

How it runs during the event

The service runs on the daily P6 update your scheduler already produces, and feeds both tiers of the event's review Rhythm.

  1. UpdateYour scheduler progresses P6 and exports the daily update.
  2. LoadThe update is added to a frozen record; history never changes.
  3. ConfirmA PPI scheduler confirms whether each KPI is reliable before anything is issued.
  4. DecideThe daily review gets the refreshed look-ahead; the authority-tier review gets forecast and step-down.
  5. EscalateBlockers go on the event's one Constraint Log, with an owner and a clear date.

What you get

Craft step-down forecastFor each primary craft: heads needed now, peak ahead, last work day and a suggested step-down, updated every reporting period.
Forecast finish checksWhether the finish is supported by the crews on site, whether progress reporting is current, and whether a constraint is holding the finish milestone regardless of the work behind it.
Dynamic 3-shift look-aheadA prioritized work list for each coordinator at shift handover, rebuilt from every progress update. As work finishes early, slips, or is released by its predecessors, the look-ahead re-sequences with it. It is logic-driven and execution-responsive: each shift works from where the event actually is, not from where the baseline said it would be.
Event progress reportOne printed report for the turnaround manager and senior leadership, with every KPI marked supported, qualified or unreliable. Nothing goes to management until the scheduler has confirmed it.
Your data stays with youSchedule files are read in the browser. They are not uploaded to or stored on a PPI server.

The forecasts depend on what the schedule carries: a finish milestone, unit completion milestones, a bulk-scope target and labour mapped to crafts. The Schedule Readiness Review checks for these before the event starts.

Replay an event you have already run

Send us the baseline and daily updates from a completed turnaround. We will replay it update by update and show where the tipping point arrived, and when each craft could have stepped down, next to what actually happened on site.

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